Mesoscale Discussion 1424
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0551 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024
Areas affected...Southeast KS...Southwest MO...Northeast
OK...Northwest AR
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 461...462...463...
Valid 261051Z - 261215Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 461, 462,
463 continues.
SUMMARY...Threat for damaging gusts will continues across southeast
Kansas, southwest Missouri, northeast Oklahoma, and northwest
Arkansas as a well-organized convective line moves through the
region.
DISCUSSION...A well-organized convective line continues to push
southward across southeast KS and southwest MO. Central portion of
this line has been the most progressive over the past 30 mins, with
a storm motion estimated at 45 kt. Both the TOP and EAX VADs sampled
the rear-inflow jet associated with this system, evidence of its
well-organized character. The general expectation is for the line to
continue southward, perhaps maybe slightly south-southeastward, over
the next few hours, with an attendant wind threat. Greatest wind
potential currently exists downstream from the apex of the line,
which is over far southeast KS/far northeast OK. Surface observation
at CNU sampled a 58 kt gust when this portion of the line moved
through about 45 mins ago. A confined corridor of stronger gusts may
also be realized as the rear-inflow jet interacts with a separate,
more localized convective line in the SGF vicinity.
..Mosier.. 06/26/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 38249700 38179488 37939211 36789173 35429325 35219477
35929619 38249700
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