Mesoscale Discussion 0584
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0844 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

   Areas affected...Northern/Western Missouri

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166...

   Valid 010144Z - 010315Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A few strong/severe storms will linger, mainly across
   northern Missouri this evening.

   DISCUSSION...Convective trends are down early this evening, partly
   due to cooling boundary-layer conditions. Convection that developed
   along/ahead of the cold front/dryline has advanced east-southeast
   across the instability axis. This activity is encountering a less
   buoyant environment and updrafts are gradually weakening. Latest
   trends suggest convection near the IA border may linger a bit
   longer, primarily due to the southern influence of the upper MS
   Valley short-wave trough. Even so, marginally severe hail may become
   the primary risk over the next hour or so.

   ..Darrow.. 05/01/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...SGF...EAX...TOP...

   LAT...LON   38129544 40539430 40549200 38109323 38129544