Mesoscale Discussion 0508
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0256 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

   Areas affected...Trans-Pecos/Lower Pecos Valley of TX

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 231956Z - 232130Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Localized strong to severe gusts of 50-65 mph and small to
   marginally severe hail to around 1 inch in diameter will be possible
   with a couple storms in far west Texas.

   DISCUSSION...High-based, lower-topped thunderstorms are expected to
   persist for a few more hours off the higher terrain of the TX
   Trans-Pecos and spread east towards the Lower Pecos Valley before
   weakening. Steep lower-level lapse rates will be conductive to
   microbursts beneath generally small hail cores aloft. The overall
   environmental setup coupled with the lack of stronger large-scale
   ascent suggest that any severe threat should remain relatively
   localized in space/short in time, and marginal in intensity.

   ..Grams/Smith.. 04/23/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

   LAT...LON   30800352 31180233 31110184 30840152 30280160 30140176
               30020246 30060315 30350368 30640376 30800352