Mesoscale Discussion 0298
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0702 PM CDT Sun Mar 24 2024

   Areas affected...Central Oklahoma...Southern Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 59...

   Valid 250002Z - 250200Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 59
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Isolated large hail and a few strong wind gusts will be
   possible this evening. The threat is expected to be too isolated for
   weather watch issuance, to the east of the current watch.

   DISCUSSION...The latest high-resolution radar from Oklahoma City
   shows a north-to-south corridor of convection across west-central
   Oklahoma, where a couple severe storms are ongoing. The airmass
   ahead of this convection is weakly unstable, with MLCAPE generally
   around 500 J/kg. Water vapor imagery suggests that a subtle
   shortwave trough is moving through central Oklahoma. This feature
   should continue to provide support for continued convective
   development for a couple more hours. Mesoscale analysis from the RAP
   currently has strong deep-layer shear in place across much of
   central Oklahoma, suggesting that an isolated severe threat will
   continue this evening. However, as the storms move further east into
   weaker instability, any severe threat should become increasingly
   isolated. Large hail and a few damaging wind gusts will be possible,
   before the severe threat continues to downtrend further.

   ..Broyles.. 03/25/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...

   LAT...LON   34919664 35669660 36739666 37319672 37539689 37659734
               37569786 37289810 36699820 35789816 34839802 34489779
               34419742 34459709 34619682 34919664