Mesoscale Discussion 0237
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0350 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

   Areas affected...Portions of far northeast TX into eastern
   OK...AR...and southern MO

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 42...43...

   Valid 142050Z - 142215Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 42, 43 continues.

   SUMMARY...The damaging wind threat may be increasing across parts of
   northern Arkansas and southern Missouri. A large hail and tornado
   threat continues with any discrete thunderstorms. Depending on
   convective trends, a new/downstream watch may eventually be needed
   for parts of western Arkansas and vicinity.

   DISCUSSION...Convection has generally grown upscale into multiple
   bowing clusters across parts of east-central OK, northwestern AR,
   and southern MO. Severe/damaging winds up to 50-70 mph should become
   an increasing concern with this mainly linear convection. Still,
   some threat for large hail and a couple tornadoes should persist
   with any supercells that can remain discrete, or embedded within the
   clusters, given modest but sufficient low-level shear and strong
   deep-layer shear. Some attempts at robust convective development
   have recently been noted across southeastern OK, with associated
   threat for large to very large hail. Depending on convective trends,
   additional watch issuance may be needed for parts of
   western/southern AR, extreme southeastern OK, and vicinity over the
   next couple of hours.

   ..Gleason/Goss.. 03/14/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   33679631 34339699 35119606 36209412 36729393 37479378
               37619292 37439181 37069131 36249153 34739248 33889334
               33459402 33509506 33679631