Mesoscale Discussion 0211
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1037 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024

   Areas affected...FL Panhandle into south GA

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 34...

   Valid 091637Z - 091800Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 34 continues.

   SUMMARY...The threat for a brief tornado or two and locally damaging
   gusts will persist into early afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...The character of an ongoing QLCS has changed somewhat
   over the last 1-2 hours from parts of the FL Panhandle into south
   GA, with some increasing tendency toward embedded supercell
   structures noted from the FL/GA border to north of Valdosta. While
   the KVAX VWP indicates some modest weakening of low-level flow, both
   low-level and deep-layer shear remain quite favorable for organized
   convection. Meanwhile, some diurnal heating has been noted across
   north FL into far south GA, with temperatures rising into the upper
   70s to near 80F. This heating of a richly moist low-level airmass is
   supporting MLCAPE increasing to near or above 1000 J/kg, despite
   generally weak midlevel lapse rates. 

   Given the favorable environment, some threat for a tornado or two
   and locally damaging gusts will likely persist into early afternoon,
   both with the ongoing storm cluster near the FL/GA border, and with
   any other embedded supercells that can become sustained. There has
   also been some increase in convective showers ahead of the ongoing
   storm cluster, and at least a transient supercell or two could
   emerge out of this area as well. Some expansion of the WW 34 into a
   larger portion of northeast FL may be needed if any of the warm
   sector convection begins to mature.

   ..Dean/Smith.. 03/09/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   29908598 31208333 31678183 31598135 30338140 29968248
               29758402 29788428 29638507 29658536 29908598