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Mesoscale Discussion 200
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0200
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0600 PM CST Thu Mar 07 2024

   Areas affected...Southern High Plains

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 31...

   Valid 080000Z - 080200Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 31
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Hail continues to be the primary risk with storms this
   evening.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms, a few supercells, persist
   across ww31. This activity continues to evolve along the eastern
   plume of steeper lapse rates that extend across the southern High
   Plains of west TX into northern OK. While large-scale forcing is not
   particularly noteworthy, low-level convergence is more than adequate
   for renewed development east of the dryline, extending northeast
   along the synoptic front over OK. Hail has been the most common
   severe threat with this activity, and radar data suggests the most
   robust updrafts are generating hail in excess of 1 inch. Over the
   last hour or so, convection has gradually increased along the
   synoptic front from north of CDS to near PNC. This corridor may
   become more concentrated into the mid-evening hours as the boundary
   advances slowly southeast.

   ..Darrow.. 03/08/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

   LAT...LON   31080143 36989899 36999700 31079956 31080143 

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Page last modified: March 08, 2024
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