Mesoscale Discussion 0103
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1147 PM CST Fri Feb 02 2024

   Areas affected...southeast Texas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 030547Z - 030715Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A line of storms may produce strong to locally severe
   gusts over southeast Texas over the next couple hours.

   DISCUSSION...A line of storms is quickly surging east across
   southeast TX, with widespread rain ahead of the system. Surface
   temperatures are relatively cool with a saturated boundary layer,
   but lower 60 F dewpoints are contributing to weak buoyancy. Given
   the longevity of the outflow surge, this may be sufficient to
   support a continuation toward the upper TX Coast later tonight.
   Overall storm trends appear down over the last half hour, and as
   such, a watch is not anticipated. However, a few strong winds gusts,
   perhaps locally damaging, may occur with the passage of this system.

   ..Jewell.. 02/03/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...

   LAT...LON   28889717 29149664 29489648 29869662 30179640 30149613
               30029537 29769506 29479468 29299462 28859517 28629575
               28659632 28759702 28889717