Mesoscale Discussion 0092
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0134 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024

   Areas affected...portions of southern Alabama...southwest Georgia
   and the extreme northern Florida Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 11...

   Valid 251934Z - 252130Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 11
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A risk for occasional damaging gusts and/or a brief
   tornado will remain possible over eastern parts of WW11 and
   downstream this afternoon. No downstream watch is anticipated.

   DISCUSSION...As of 1925 UTC, mosaic radar imagery showed a line of
   thunderstorms ongoing across west/southwest AL. More isolated
   convection was also periodically noted ahead of the line within the
   warm sector farther north. Over the last couple of hours, occasional
   damaging gusts have been observed with stronger segments of the line
   across southern MS and southwest AL within WW11. 1000 J/kg of MCLAPE
   and 35-40 kt of effective shear will remain favorable for organized
   segments of the line as it moves toward the eastern edge of the
   watch this afternoon. While organizational trends of the line have
   been down recently owing to weakening large-scale ascent, the
   broadly favorable environment ahead will remain supportive of an
   occasional damaging gust with any stronger storms as they move to
   the east. A brief tornado is also possible given 0-1km SRH of
   100-200 m2/s2 from SPC mesoanalysis. Given the recent trends with
   the line and weakening forcing, a downstream watch is not
   anticipated at this time.

   ..Lyons.. 01/25/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   32658736 32988658 33248558 33188503 32908460 32528440
               31938458 31548486 31158560 31028606 30898693 30898726
               30908749 30938772 31008786 31478778 32658736