Mesoscale Discussion 0085
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0134 AM CST Wed Jan 24 2024

   Areas affected...TX Hill Country

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 240734Z - 240930Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated large hail is possible for the next few hours
   across the Texas Hill Country.

   DISCUSSION...Recent radar imagery has shown an increase in storm
   intensity across the TX Hill Country over the past hour, with
   supercellular characteristics noted within the storm over Frio,
   Atascosa, and southern Bexar Counties. This increase in storm
   strength is occurring near a local maximum of effective bulk shear
   within recent mesoanalysis, which is likely related to enhanced
   mid-level flow noted on the KEWX VAD. Given the elevated character
   of these storms, the primary severe risk is large hail. Low-level
   stability should limit the threat for damaging gusts, but a gust or
   two may become strong enough to penetrate through this stability to
   reach the surface.

   ..Mosier/Goss.. 01/24/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...

   LAT...LON   29039901 29549852 29879727 29499689 29079688 28749737
               28799862 29039901