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Mesoscale Discussion 2020
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MD 2020 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 2020
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0734 AM CST Sat Dec 11 2021

   Areas affected...portions of north-central AL into northwest GA

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 111334Z - 111500Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Locally gusty winds may accompany thunderstorms across
   parts of central AL into northwest GA this morning. However, severe
   thunderstorm potential is expected to remain limited.

   DISCUSSION...A line of strong storms extends from north-central AL
   into east-central MS this morning ahead of an eastward-advancing
   cold front. WW 562 is in effect for portions of northern AL,
   however, severe potential appears low to the south and east of the
   watch across parts of central AL and northwest GA. Strong deep-layer
   southwesterly flow will continue to support fast moving cells within
   the line of convection amid weak instability. This could allow for
   locally gusty winds to move across the MCD area over the next few
   hours. However, the 12z BMX RAOB and experimental RAOBs from the
   University of Alabama - Huntsville indicate a somewhat hostile
   midlevel thermodynamic environment with weak capping between 850-700
   mb. Additionally, midlevel lapse rates remain poor across the
   region. This will largely limit more intense convection and a new
   watch is not expected at this time.

   ..Leitman.. 12/11/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...HUN...

   LAT...LON   33268830 33568752 34238607 34618566 34928538 34968516
               34918493 34748472 34558473 34158487 33858507 33278568
               33078607 32968664 32898728 32868776 32898812 32988825
               33268830 

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