Mesoscale Discussion 1940
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1121 PM CST Wed Nov 10 2021
Areas affected...northeast Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 548...
Valid 110521Z - 110715Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 548
continues.
SUMMARY...Strong wind gusts remain possible across northeast Texas,
with perhaps marginal hail, but severe weather is becoming less
likely with time. Additional watches are not anticipated.
DISCUSSION...Back-building storms persist near the Dallas area,
producing heavy rain and wind gusts mainly in the 30 kt range.
Eastern portions of the line are advancing more quickly into
northeast TX, oriented a bit more orthogonal to the midlevel flow.
The area from northeast TX into northwest LA may be a favored area
for a few strong wind gusts over the next several hours.
Overall, the severe risk appears to be dwindling, as the boundary
layer continues to stabilize. Objective analysis indicates less than
1000 J/kg MLCAPE as of 05Z, with warming midlevel temperatures out
of the southwest. Therefore, additional watches are not anticipated
tonight, though an isolated severe gust cannot be ruled out.
..Jewell.. 11/11/2021
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...
LAT...LON 32899701 32739642 32729591 32899542 33169529 33499446
33319411 33029392 32579393 32039415 31689476 31719553
31919632 32219684 32459711 32709724 32899701
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