Mesoscale Discussion 1676
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0721 PM CDT Wed Sep 01 2021
Areas affected...southern Mississippi
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 020021Z - 020145Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...The potential for sporadic wind damage to trees and power
lines will persist for a couple more hours this evening before
diminishing with the loss of diurnal heating.
DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms capable of producing strong,
gusty thunderstorm outflows continues to push southward across
Mississippi this evening. Although large-scale deep-layer shear is
weak, storm-scale and mesoscale processes have resulted in shear
around 30 knots across the area. Additionally, extreme instability
has resulted in the development of a robust cold pool that continues
to push southward, with new thunderstorm development along the
leading edge. The overall environment will continue to support the
potential for strong, cold downdrafts capable of producing sporadic
wind damage, especially to trees and power lines, for the next
couple of hours given relatively steep low-level lapse rates. The
threat should diminish later this evening as the boundary layer
stabilizes, and lapse rates weaken, with the loss of diurnal
heating.
..Marsh/Guyer.. 09/02/2021
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 32329091 32809035 32768931 32488848 31568828 31098842
30908895 31048998 31649082 32329091
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