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Mesoscale Discussion 1483 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1483
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0202 PM CDT Wed Aug 11 2021
Areas affected...Portions of WI
Concerning...Tornado Watch 424...
Valid 111902Z - 112030Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 424 continues.
SUMMARY...The threat for all severe hazards, including tornadoes,
will continue across much of southern/central WI this afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells have formed this afternoon across
WI along and ahead of a cold front. The environment remains very
favorable for severe supercells, with MLCAPE of 2500-4000 J/kg
present across this area, along with continued strong deep-layer
shear owing to the upper trough and related 50-60+ kt mid-level jet
present over the Upper Midwest. The greatest tornado potential in
the short term should exist in a narrow southwest to northeast
corridor across parts of southern/central WI, where around 100-150
m2/s2 of 0-1 km SRH is present. Indeed, a supercell in Monroe County
WI has recently acquired strong low-level rotation with a
corresponding CC minimum. In addition to the tornado threat, both
large hail and damaging winds will remain a possibility as well.
This severe wind threat may increase across parts of east-central WI
over the next couple of hours if storms continue to congeal and grow
upscale into a cluster.
..Gleason.. 08/11/2021
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...ARX...
LAT...LON 43629157 43929113 44819009 45168870 44838719 43948764
43088907 43129108 43629157
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