Mesoscale Discussion 1332
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0432 PM CDT Fri Jul 23 2021

   Areas affected...portions of central and southwest New Mexico

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 232132Z - 232300Z

   CORRECTED FOR GRAPHIC

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe storms are expected to persist
   through the evening.

   DISCUSSION...Strong cells have developed in central New Mexico this
   afternoon with one report of 1.75 inch hail thus far. Additional
   severe storms have developed with a 2.5 inch MESH core across
   southern Torrance County as of 2120Z. Expect additional development
   through the remainder of the afternoon and into the evening as the
   airmass across western New Mexico has warmed into the low 90s ahead
   of the westward-drifting upper low. Expect storms to be mostly
   strong to isolated severe. However, if the activity currently in
   central New Mexico congeals as it drifts southwestward there could
   be a greater potential for more organized severe storms with a
   damaging-wind threat. Effective shear of 30 to 35 knots per SPC
   mesoanalysis would support the potential for some organization. If
   this occurs a severe thunderstorm watch may need to be considered.

   ..Bentley/Edwards.. 07/23/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...

   LAT...LON   35480685 35230587 34750547 34320530 33470540 32790579
               32390652 32330762 32530791 33010828 33860862 35350872
               35480685