Mesoscale Discussion 1316
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0721 PM CDT Sun Jul 18 2021

   Areas affected...Eastern Texas Panhandle...Western Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 383...

   Valid 190021Z - 190145Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 383
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Strong/severe thunderstorms will propagate south across
   ww383 over the next several hours. Hail/wind remain possible.

   DISCUSSION...Latest water-vapor imagery depicts a disturbance that
   has progressed across western KS and is dropping south across the OK
   Panhandle. This feature appears partly responsible for ongoing
   convection that has grown upscale into a disorganized MCS that
   currently stretches from the northern TX Panhandle-western/central
   OK. Surface analysis suggests a disjointed boundary currently
   extends from southeast OK-north of Pauls Valley-HBR-AMA, with the
   western portion of this boundary advancing south, along with
   convection, at roughly 15-20kt. Strongest updrafts are likely
   producing hail with this broad cluster of convection and there is
   some risk for wind with more organized, bowing line segments.
   Overall, this complex of storms should propagate across the eastern
   TX Panhandle toward the Red River over the next 1-3 hours.

   ..Darrow.. 07/19/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...

   LAT...LON   36630188 36659846 34759822 34750156 36630188