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Mesoscale Discussion 1234
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1234
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0309 AM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

   Areas affected...southeastern Missouri/southern Illinois

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364...

   Valid 100809Z - 101015Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Local risk for gusty/damaging winds continues across WW
   364.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows near-continuous line of strong
   storms moving southeastward across southeastern Missouri and
   adjacent southern Illinois at around 30 kt.  Ahead of the storms, an
   airmass featuring 1000 to 1500 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE persists, which
   should allow convection to persist as it advances steadily
   southeastward.  While the latest PAH WSR-88D VWP data shows only
   moderate (AOB 30 kt) flow through the lower half of the troposphere,
   a few stronger gusts remain possible given the still-organized
   nature of the convective band.

   ..Goss.. 07/10/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...SGF...

   LAT...LON   37329078 37559010 38118912 38168874 37828843 37128915
               36499019 36519095 37099113 37329078 

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