Mesoscale Discussion 1025
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0949 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

   Areas affected...portions of east-central and northern MO

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 287...

   Valid 200249Z - 200345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 287
   continues.

   SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat may continue in and west of
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch 287, however a new watch is not
   anticipated.

   DISCUSSION...Strong/occasionally severe storms were occurring across
   east-central/northeast MO as of 0225z.  Trends in radar/reports
   continue to show a general decrease in intensity over the watch area
   during the past hour as MLCIN gradually increases due to nocturnal
   cooling.  The more likely area for additional thunderstorm
   development over the next few hours is west of the current watch
   over north-central MO, where modest convergence and lower MLCIN is
   present.  With strong instability and 25-30 kts of effective shear,
   the potential for an isolated severe storm will exist for the next
   few hours.

   Given the expected isolated nature of the remaining severe risk, an
   additional watch is not anticipated however convective trends will
   be monitored.

   ..Bunting.. 06/20/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX...

   LAT...LON   38359068 38969190 39179235 39379326 39789316 39909267
               39879183 39749146 39389098 38579035 38359068