Mesoscale Discussion 1008
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0833 AM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

   Areas affected...southern AL...FL Panhandle

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 284...

   Valid 191333Z - 191430Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 284 continues.

   SUMMARY...The risk for a tornado or two will probably continue
   through the morning and into the afternoon.  A tornado watch will be
   considered later this morning to the east of tornado watch 284.

   DISCUSSION...KMOB radar imagery shows a couple of embedded rotating
   updrafts over southern AL and far western part of the FL Panhandle
   as of 1330 UTC.  The 12 UTC Tallahassee raob showed ample buoyancy
   (1400 J/kg MLCAPE).  The raob likely sampled to the east of the
   moist axis, which was located farther west over the western FL
   Panhandle where surface dewpoints are 2-4 deg F higher.  

   The KEVX VAD data has shown an increase in 3-km AGL flow with speeds
   increasing from 40 to 50 kt during the past 2 hours.  As a result,
   the hodograph has enlarged and around 240 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH is noted.
   Given the very moist/strongly sheared low levels, it seems plausible
   it will continue to remain favorable for mesocyclogenesis during the
   morning.  The stronger and more persistent circulations will be
   capable of a couple of tornadoes.  As the primary band translates
   east and north during the morning, the risk for a tornado will
   probably spread into parts of southeast AL and potentially the
   central part of the FL Panhandle later this morning and into the
   afternoon.

   ..Smith.. 06/19/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   29978569 30358640 30218776 31428731 32058690 32028606
               31598547 30758521 30188525 29918562 29978569