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Mesoscale Discussion 939 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0939
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0717 PM CDT Sat Jun 12 2021
Areas affected...Southeast CO...Eastern NM
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 262...
Valid 130017Z - 130215Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 262
continues.
SUMMARY...Isolated severe thunderstorms will continue across ww262.
DISCUSSION...Weak steering currents are contributing to the
reluctance of convection to propagate away from steeper low-level
lapse rate environment. Isolated thunderstorms have congregated off
the higher terrain over Las Animas County CO and around the Las
Vegas NM region. Over the last half hour or so, visible satellite
imagery suggests storm-top venting is perhaps a bit stronger as
anvil debris is beginning to expand more substantially.
Additionally, IR imagery shows cooling cloud tops and this could
lead to storm clusters that may form enough cold pool to eventually
spread southeast toward the northwest TX Panhandle. Whether this
activity is able to track along the instability axis is likely
predicated on an established cold pool, and this may take a few
hours.
..Darrow.. 06/13/2021
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...
LAT...LON 34940564 36640520 37740429 37680329 36690339 34790451
34940564
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