Mesoscale Discussion 0804
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0630 PM CDT Sat May 29 2021

   Areas affected...Far southeast CO...Far northeast NM...Western OK
   Panhandle...Northwest TX Panhandle

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 223...

   Valid 292330Z - 300100Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 223 continues.

   SUMMARY...The threat for hail, gusty winds, and perhaps a brief
   tornado continues across southeast Colorado this evening. Some
   severe threat may spread out of WW 223 into far northeast NM and the
   western TX/OK Panhandles, with new severe thunderstorm watch
   issuance possible.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of thunderstorms across far southeast CO will
   continue to pose a severe threat into early evening, as moderate
   instability is maintained near and downstream of the cluster.
   Maintenance and potential upscale growth of this cluster is possible
   with time, as a southeasterly low-level jet increases tonight. With
   strong MLCINH noted to the east, the cluster would likely take on a
   more southeasterly motion if it survives, spreading a severe threat
   into portions of far northeast NM and the western OK/northwest TX
   Panhandles. Large hail will probably remain the most likely hazard
   in the short term, associated with stronger multicells or transient
   supercells within the cluster. A somewhat greater severe wind risk
   may evolve with time, especially if more substantial upscale growth
   can occur. 

   Downstream watch issuance into portions of the western TX/OK
   Panhandles and possibly far northeast NM is possible if trends
   support a substantial severe threat into these areas later this
   evening.

   ..Dean/Guyer.. 05/29/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   37280388 37740239 37180217 35840181 35750319 36120368
               36530388 37040418 37330383 37280388