Mesoscale Discussion 0716
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0732 PM CDT Sun May 23 2021

   Areas affected...Northeast New Mexico...northwest Texas
   Panhandle...southeastern Colorado...southwestern Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 198...

   Valid 240032Z - 240230Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 198
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Despite a relative lull in convection over the past hour
   or so, some additional isolated storms may develop along the
   retreating dryline. Large hail would likely be the primary threat.

   DISCUSSION...With the main mid-level ascent north of the region and
   lifting northeast, storm coverage has remained limited. Mid-level
   flow is expected to weaken some with time as well. However, an
   increase in 850 mb wind into the westward retreating dryline may
   promote additional isolated thunderstorm development later this
   evening. The 00Z AMA sounding shows mid-level lapse rates that would
   support some threat for large hail. Low-level shear will increase,
   but storm organization potential seems likely to diminish with time
   making the threat for a tornado minimal.

   ..Wendt.. 05/24/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DDC...LUB...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   35290439 37370323 38080283 38140213 37460173 36420184
               35220216 34590272 34560317 34490368 34530413 35290439