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Mesoscale Discussion 510 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0510
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0830 PM CDT Mon May 03 2021
Areas affected...South-central Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 135...
Valid 040130Z - 040230Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 135
continues.
SUMMARY...Large hail and damaging wind gusts will remain possible
through the next few hours with a couple supercells ongoing within
WW132.
DISCUSSION...As of 0110z, KEWX showed a large sueprcell
thunderstorm, producing numerous reports of severe hail, was located
above the San Antonio metro. A second, left moving supercell at the
Gillespie Blanco Kendall county intersection also has a history of
producing large hail, with several 2-2.5 inch reports along I-10 in
the last hour. These storms are ongoing in a very unstable and
moderately sheared environment with 3000-4000 J/kg of MUCAPE and
40-50 kts effective shear. Hi-res guidance and observation trends
suggest that a significant hail threat will remain likely with these
storms as they slowly move eastward in WW135. The greatest threat
corridor appears to be the eastern San Antonio metro and eastward
along interstate 10. Storms should slowly begin to weaken with the
loss of diurnal heating, but severe weather will remain likely
through 0300z.
..Lyons.. 05/04/2021
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...EWX...
LAT...LON 29719763 29389767 29249785 29229808 29279839 29439873
29739888 30289897 30429878 30449829 30209793 29939772
29719763
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