Mesoscale Discussion 0461
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0731 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

   Areas affected...North-central and Northeast Texas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 119...

   Valid 290031Z - 290230Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 119 continues.

   SUMMARY...Large hail, wind damage and an isolated tornado threat is
   expected across parts of north-central Texas early this evening. A
   new watch may be needed to the east of WW 119.

   DISCUSSION...The latest radar imagery from Fort Worth shows a
   cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms to the west and southwest
   of Fort Worth. These storms are located along the western edge of a
   very moist airmass. Surface dewpoints are near 70 F across the
   Dallas/Fort Worth Metro extending eastward across much of northeast
   Texas, where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2000 J/kg
   range. This combined with 60 kt of deep-layer shear will be
   favorable for supercells early this evening. Supercells may produce
   large hail and wind damage. In addition, the storms will move
   eastward toward a strengthening low-level jet. For this reason, a
   tornado threat may develops with the stronger supercells. The threat
   is expected to move to the east of WW 119 where a new weather watch
   may be need to be issued within the next hour or so.

   ..Broyles/Guyer.. 04/29/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

   LAT...LON   31869855 32369667 32819596 33319579 33629597 33809642
               33709788 33469965 33210011 32840027 32460025 32120002
               31819940 31869855