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Mesoscale Discussion 318 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0318
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0911 PM CDT Tue Apr 06 2021
Areas affected...Central/Northern Kansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 72...
Valid 070211Z - 070415Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 72
continues.
SUMMARY...Greatest severe risk in the next few hours will spread
across central/northern Kansas.
DISCUSSION...Slow-moving thunderstorm cluster has evolved from
Jewell-Lincoln-Stafford County KS. Leading edge of this activity is
beginning to surge east into Ottawa County (ww73), well ahead of the
actual cold front. While the surface front will eventually catch up
to this developing squall line, strong LLJ focused across central KS
will continue to provide favorable inflow for eastward propagation
through the instability axis. Hail continues to be the primary
concern, though gusty winds may also be noted with the bowing
segment that is exiting the watch into Ottawa County. Southern-most
portion of this squall line should begin to accelerate as the
surface front will soon surge into this portion of the convective
line.
..Darrow.. 04/07/2021
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...
LAT...LON 37889923 39699808 39709688 38949671 37829777 37889923
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