Mesoscale Discussion 0314
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1151 AM CDT Thu Apr 01 2021

   Areas affected...Southeastern Florida

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 011651Z - 011815Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Scattered strong/severe storms are expected along a cold
   front this afternoon and evening. Damaging wind gusts and marginally
   severe hail will be possible. A weather watch is unlikely.

   DISCUSSION...1630Z obs showed an east-west oriented cold front
   bisecting the Florida Peninsula south of Tampa. Surface temperatures
   have warmed into the 80s F south of the front over the last few
   hours. The warm temperatures in combination with surface dewpoints
   in the upper 60s F are supporting MLCAPE between 1000-1500 J/kg.
   Continued destabilization should support scattered storm development
   along the front over the next couple of hours. Westerly mid-level
   flow from the upper trough over the Mid Atlantic is displaced behind
   the front suggesting limited shear overlap with the warm sector.
   This should result in a messy storm mode of predominately multi-cell
   clusters. Damaging wind gusts from wet microbursts and some
   marginally severe hail should be the primary low-end severe threats
   through this afternoon. A watch is not anticipated but trends will
   be monitored.

   ..Lyons.. 04/01/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

   LAT...LON   25298052 25488087 25798125 26188153 26508169 26698170
               26818166 27188146 27428078 27378033 26998016 26368004
               25848020 25508024 25298052