Mesoscale Discussion 0218
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0152 AM CDT Thu Mar 18 2021

   Areas affected...Portions of the FL Panhandle...southeastern
   AL...and western GA

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 36...38...

   Valid 180652Z - 180815Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 36, 38 continues.

   SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat continues early this morning,
   including the potential for a tornado.

   DISCUSSION...Convection has weakened across western GA over the past
   couple of hours, as it has generally outpaced the low-level moisture
   return and moved into an increasingly more stable environment.
   Farther south, strong storms are ongoing across parts of the FL
   Panhandle into southeastern AL. A wind gust of 48 kt (55 mph) was
   recently reported at KPRN in south-central AL. VWPs from KEOX and
   KEVX ahead of the broken line show decent veering/strengthening of
   the wind profile with height through mid levels. With 250+ m2/s2 of
   effective SRH present across the warm sector, a tornado remains a
   possibility with any storm that can remain surface based.
   Strong/gusty outflow winds may also occur with the more linear
   convection in the western FL Panhandle and south-central AL. The
   overall severe threat will probably remain fairly isolated through
   the early morning hours, as the best large-scale forcing for ascent
   associated with an upper trough/low over the lower/mid MS Valley
   remains displaced to the north of the central Gulf Coast.

   ..Gleason.. 03/18/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   30268766 30868723 31968593 32478495 32418441 32088434
               31678475 30858580 30388654 30268766