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Mesoscale Discussion 2119 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 2119
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0804 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2019
Areas affected...Southern Mississippi...Southwest Alabama
Concerning...Tornado Watch 684...
Valid 260104Z - 260230Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 684 continues.
SUMMARY...An isolated tornado threat will continue across parts of
southern Mississippi and southwestern Alabama over the next couple
of hours. However, the threat should become marginal enough to let
Tornado Watch 684 expire at 02Z. A local extension in area and time
may be needed to cover areas the continue to have a tornado threat
after 02Z.
DISCUSSION...The latest radar imagery shows a band of thunderstorms
from far southern Mississippi extending northeastward into western
Alabama. Several discrete cells are still ongoing along the eastern
edge of the rain band across the northern part of WW 684. These
cells are located along the northern edge of the stronger
instability. In addition, the Mobile WSR-88D VWP shows some
directional shear in the lowest 1 km AGL with 0-1 km shear near 30
kt. This should be enough to continue an isolated tornado threat
this evening. However, the discrete cells currently about 50 statute
miles to the north of Mobile, should continue to move northward away
from the stronger instability late this evening. For this reason,
the tornado threat is expected to become more marginal with time and
the tornado watch will be allowed to expire at 02Z. The tornado
threat may redevelop later tonight as additional discrete cells
approach the coast associated with Tropical Storm Olga.
..Broyles.. 10/26/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 30278840 30268786 30458751 31288746 32128755 32418767
32578792 32628822 32578867 32418904 32168927 31758940
31138952 30568950 30268922 30278840
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