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Mesoscale Discussion 1898 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1898
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0653 AM CDT Fri Aug 30 2019
Areas affected...western OK
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 301153Z - 301400Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...Sporadic strong wind gusts and isolated hail near 1 inch
are possible for a few hours this morning. A watch is not expected
at this time.
DISCUSSION...Scattered elevated thunderstorms are ongoing across
western OK this morning. This convection is developing in a warm
advection regime as a shortwave impulse tracks eastward across KS. A
30 kt southwesterly low level jet is aiding in semi-organized
clusters on the edge of steep midlevel lapse rates across the
southern and central High Plains. Most recently, a 59 mph gust was
observed by the Oklahoma Mesonet site at Weatherford. Other gusts in
the region have been sub-severe over the last hour. In addition to
gusty winds, isolated hail near 1 inch is possible with the
strongest cells. As the low level jet weakens through the morning
and the upper shortwave impulse shifts east into MO, isolated severe
potential should decrease as well across western OK.
..Leitman/Grams.. 08/30/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
LAT...LON 35659988 36509964 36809939 36869869 36699801 36319765
35489756 34849806 34629856 34649916 34879962 35399993
35659988
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