Mesoscale Discussion 1845
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0908 PM CDT Fri Aug 23 2019

   Areas affected...Portions of east-central Colorado and western
   Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 613...615...

   Valid 240208Z - 240415Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 613, 615
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Marked downward trend in storm intensity in from
   east-central Colorado to southwest Kansas in the last hour has
   reduced overall severe threat. Localized strong gusts and isolated
   marginally severe hail may still occur, but WW 613 and WW 615 will
   be allowed to expire at 04Z.

   DISCUSSION...Storms along the outflow boundary west of Dodge City,
   KS have generally remained stationary with some tendency to move
   southward into more buoyant air. The amount of convective
   overturning that has occurred in southwestern Kansas will diminish
   the overall severe threat. In east-central Colorado, the slow moving
   cluster of storms has continued to move into more stable air behind
   the outflow boundary. Trends in radar imagery has generally shown a
   decrease in storm intensity as high reflectivity cores aloft have
   diminished in the last half hour. A modest increase in the low-level
   jet this evening may allow some of this activity to pose a
   sporadic/localized threat for a strong wind gust or marginally
   severe hail. Given the observational trends, WW 613 and WW 615 will
   be allowed to expire at 04Z.

   ..Wendt.. 08/24/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

   LAT...LON   37210133 38280301 38720353 39570369 39910313 39900233
               39890205 38590019 37369995 37170017 37100076 37070112
               37210133