Mesoscale Discussion 1416
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0550 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2019

   Areas affected...Central/eastern North Dakota...portions of
   northern/northwestern Minnesota

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498...

   Valid 082250Z - 090045Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Storms capable of severe wind gusts as well as large hail
   continue within WW 498. Linear storm mode will favor severe wind
   gusts as the primary threat. A downstream WW or WW extensions will
   likely be needed in the next 1-2 hours.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms in WW 498 have clustered into several
   linear segments. Given the extreme buoyancy out ahead of this
   activity -- 3500-4000 J/kg MLCAPE -- storms will continue to
   propagate eastward and pose a threat for severe wind gusts. Though
   deep-layer shear is modest (around 30-35 kts) and storm mode has
   become more linear, steep level lapse rates will support large hail
   in the stronger cores. Stronger storms have also developed within
   southern Manitoba, some of which may move into portions of northern
   Minnesota. A downstream WW or WW extensions will need to be
   considered within the next 1-2 hours as activity is expected to
   maintain its intensity into the early evening.

   ..Wendt.. 07/08/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

   LAT...LON   46820129 48389931 49039788 49059565 48469536 46789677
               46269835 46090010 46060121 46260161 46820129