Mesoscale Discussion 1404
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1229 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2019

   Areas affected...parts of South Carolina and North Carolina

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 071729Z - 071930Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Scattered convection continues to deepen and increase in
   coverage.  An isolated damaging-wind risk will exist with this
   activity during the afternoon and evening.  A WW issuance is not
   anticipated.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered convection continues to deepen across the
   discussion area currently.  These storms are in a weakly forced and
   weakly sheared airmass, though strong buoyancy (3000-4000 J/kg) was
   present primarily due to warm/humid near-surface conditions and
   modest lapse rates aloft.  Inhibition is weak, suggesting that
   continued insolation outside of ongoing convection will continue to
   foster new development - especially at the intersection of cold
   pools from ongoing convection.  Isolated damaging wind gusts are
   possible near storms through the afternoon an early evening.  A WW
   issuance is not anticipated due to the sporadic nature of the
   threat.

   ..Cook.. 07/07/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...

   LAT...LON   35378076 36417907 36727763 36497659 36117634 35707674
               34697802 33747985 33548097 33948164 34848111 35378076