Mesoscale Discussion 1323
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0547 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2019
Areas affected...central/southern Illinois...central/southern
Indiana...northern Kentucky
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 469...
Valid 302247Z - 010045Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 469
continues.
SUMMARY...The severe threat for WW469 continues with damaging wind
gusts as the main threat, although large hail remains possible.
Storms may expand outside the current watch and new downstream watch
south of WW469 may be necessary.
DISCUSSION...An MCS continues to move southward across WW469 with a
history of measured severe wind gusts while storms have developed
along the surface front extending southeast from the MCS across
southern Indiana into northern Kentucky. The MCS should continue
moving south-southwest into the evening with warm, moist, and
unstable air ahead of it. Given the storm mode, damaging wind gusts
remains the most likely severe threat with the MCS, although as new
discrete cell development occurs, large hail may also be possible.
Given the amount of convection, the MCS should continue moving
south-southwest and probably move outside of the current watch,
possibly necessitating a new watch. However, in the absence of
stronger flow and being past peak daytime heating, the severe threat
may lessen later in the evening outside of the current watch.
However, convective trends will continued to be monitored for a
potential new watch.
..Nauslar/Thompson.. 06/30/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...
LAT...LON 38928942 39898961 39898925 39768841 39798760 39818748
39868697 39728665 39288623 39068609 38208567 37688548
37658588 37668626 37698708 37768799 37778858 37908920
38578935 38928942
|