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Mesoscale Discussion 1309
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MD 1309 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 1309
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1003 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2019

   Areas affected...South central North Dakota

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 463...

   Valid 300303Z - 300430Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 463 continues.

   SUMMARY...The risk for severe weather has diminished in the near
   term, but new storm development appears possible near and north of
   the Interstate 94 corridor east of Bismarck by 11 PM-1 AM CDT.

   DISCUSSION...After a period of substantive intensification, the
   influence of substantial mid-level inhibition has resulted in the
   dissipation of the supercell southwest through south of Bismarck. 
   The potential for additional storm development rooted within the
   strongly unstable boundary layer in close proximity to the remnant
   zone of stronger differential surface heating appears low.  However,
   there still appears potential for storm initiation, including
   supercells, rooted within the low-level warm advection regime across
   much of eastern North Dakota within the next few hours (as discussed
   further in MCD 1308).  This could include at least northeastern
   portions of  Tornado Watch 463 prior to its scheduled 06Z
   expiration.

   ..Kerr.. 06/30/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

   LAT...LON   47490039 47559905 47229838 46399878 46079911 46039995
               46060118 46540104 47490039 

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