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Mesoscale Discussion 1309 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1309
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1003 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2019
Areas affected...South central North Dakota
Concerning...Tornado Watch 463...
Valid 300303Z - 300430Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 463 continues.
SUMMARY...The risk for severe weather has diminished in the near
term, but new storm development appears possible near and north of
the Interstate 94 corridor east of Bismarck by 11 PM-1 AM CDT.
DISCUSSION...After a period of substantive intensification, the
influence of substantial mid-level inhibition has resulted in the
dissipation of the supercell southwest through south of Bismarck.
The potential for additional storm development rooted within the
strongly unstable boundary layer in close proximity to the remnant
zone of stronger differential surface heating appears low. However,
there still appears potential for storm initiation, including
supercells, rooted within the low-level warm advection regime across
much of eastern North Dakota within the next few hours (as discussed
further in MCD 1308). This could include at least northeastern
portions of Tornado Watch 463 prior to its scheduled 06Z
expiration.
..Kerr.. 06/30/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...
LAT...LON 47490039 47559905 47229838 46399878 46079911 46039995
46060118 46540104 47490039
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