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Mesoscale Discussion 1260
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1260
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0350 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019

   Areas affected...Vermont...western New hampshire...Western
   Massachusetts...eastern New York...and northeast Pennsylvania

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 262050Z - 262215Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...The threat for a few strong to severe storms will persist
   for a few more hours.

   DISCUSSION...A broken line of storms currently stretches from the
   Canadian border into east central Pennsylvania. These storms have
   occasionally produced some wind damage, but none of the storms have
   posed a persistent severe threat. Expect isolated strong to severe
   storms with occasional reports of wind damage to continue for a few
   more hours before storms weaken as they encounter an increasingly
   stable air mass with eastward extent. The eastward extent of the
   instability is currently the Hudson River valley (evidenced by the
   lack of surface based cu development on GOES 16). Cooling
   temperatures aloft may allow for some additional destabilization in
   the higher terrain east of the Hudson River valley and thus extend
   the severe threat across this area. However, farther south the air
   mass ahead of these storms is not expected to destabilize much
   downstream. Given the short duration and marginal nature of the
   severe threat, a severe thunderstorm watch is unlikely.

   ..Bentley/Hart.. 06/26/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...
   CTP...

   LAT...LON   44907376 45147367 45127249 45127147 44447139 43237179
               42557247 41887327 41587392 41137524 40917649 40947721
               41187735 41507687 41977625 43137531 43937511 44907376 

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