Mesoscale Discussion 1088
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0150 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

   Areas affected...eastern Oklahoma through north central Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364...386...

   Valid 160650Z - 160815Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364, 386
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Threat for strong to damaging wind gusts may continue next
   couple of hours from  eastern OK into north Central TX. Activity
   will move east of ww 386 after 08Z. However, an overall weakening
   trend is expected to persist, and a downstream WW is not anticipated
   at this time.

   DISCUSSION...Squall line stretching from northeast OK east of Tulsa
   into north central TX is moving east at 35-40 kt. The faster
   movement has been noted on the northern end where a 50 kt rear
   inflow jet exists just south of the center of an MCV circulation.
   Despite strong forcing along the leading gust front within a
   strongly unstable (2500-3000 J/kg MLCAPE) environment, trends have
   been for reflectivity to decrease. This suggests the MCS is
   struggling with increasing convective inhibition associated with a
   stabilizing boundary layer. While locally strong to damaging wind
   gusts may continue along portions of the line next hour or two, a
   longer duration severe threat does not appear likely.

   ..Dial.. 06/16/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   33509682 34589577 35769542 36779576 36659439 34809426
               33179581 32939723 33509682