Mesoscale Discussion 0792
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0349 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

   Areas affected...Portions of the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles and far
   eastern New Mexico

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 238...

   Valid 252049Z - 252245Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 238
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat continues for WW238 with large hail and
   damaging wind gusts remaining as the primary threats.

   DISCUSSION...Severe thunderstorms continue across WW238 and given
   the early initiation time, storm re-development has occurred back
   along the dryline in eastern New Mexico. The initial storms are
   beginning to move out of WW238 and into WW242, but with ongoing
   re-development behind these storms, the threat will continue through
   0100 UTC. Supercellular structures remain likely although clustering
   of these cells is also likely given the warm/moist/unstable airmass.

   With 1500-2500 J/kg of MLCAPE and effective bulk shear of 45-65
   knots (mostly unidirectional/speed above 1-km AGL), large hail
   remains a threat. Additionally, damaging wind gusts are also
   possible given the moist profiles, but low-level lapse rates will
   have weakened in some locations in the wake of the initial
   convection. The tornado risk is also likely to increase into the
   evening as the LLJ and low-level veering strengthen, especially
   across eastern portions of the watch.

   ..Nauslar/Hart.. 05/25/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DDC...LUB...AMA...MAF...PUB...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   32930360 34260354 35830336 36930312 37030298 37050252
               37050192 37030158 36930136 36230132 35350146 33630173
               33190178 33080186 33000199 32950221 32930360