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Mesoscale Discussion 462 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0462
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0550 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2019
Areas affected...Portions of west into western north TX
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 107...
Valid 272250Z - 272345Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 107
continues.
SUMMARY...Initial threat for large hail will probably transition to
more of a damaging wind threat this evening as storms move
east-southeastward across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 107. A more
isolated hail/wind threat near Midland, TX will probably not require
additional watch issuance.
DISCUSSION...Recent radar imagery shows a few supercells have
developed across west TX to the east of Lubbock in the vicinity of a
weak cold front. Multiple reports of 1 to 1.5 inch hail have been
received from these storms as effective bulk shear of 45-50 kt acts
to organize updrafts. Storm interactions/mergers are occurring
across Dickens County and vicinity. Large surface
temperature-dewpoint spreads to the south of the front and steep
low-level lapse rates should foster a favorable environment for
damaging winds, which may gradually become the primary threat this
evening if storms can grow upscale. A more isolated hail/wind threat
may develop south of the ongoing convection along a surface
trough/dryline near and just north of Midland. This risk will likely
remain too isolated to warrant additional watch issuance in this
area.
..Gleason.. 04/27/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...
LAT...LON 34700118 33829804 32519801 32570068 32150134 32130224
33020157 34300163 34700118
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