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Mesoscale Discussion 439 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0439
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1157 PM CDT Wed Apr 24 2019
Areas affected...far east-central TX and northwest LA
Concerning...Tornado Watch 100...
Valid 250457Z - 250600Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 100 continues.
SUMMARY...Stronger circulations and a tornado with a recent TDS
signature are indicative of the conditionality being met of an
otherwise supportive mesoscale environment for low-level mesocyclone
rotation.
DISCUSSION...Radar imagery shows an intensifying band of
quasi-discrete and embedded circulations near the LA/TX border.
KPOE VAD data for storm motions indicate around 250-300 m2/s2 0-1km
SRH is present over west-central and northwest LA. The moist
environment coupled with sufficient buoyancy/shear in the low levels
will continue to pose a threat for a tornado or two during the next
few hours over northwest LA. A squall line mesovortex tornado risk
will likely concentrate in the far northwestern part of LA with the
more notable supercell tornado risk farther south.
..Smith.. 04/25/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SHV...
LAT...LON 31789394 32689387 32899284 32109271 31489310 31039446
31789394
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