Mesoscale Discussion 0380
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1107 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2019

   Areas affected...far southeast KS into southwest MO

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 180407Z - 180530Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Damaging winds will be possible with storms tracking into
   southeast KS and southwest MO over the next several hours. A severe
   thunderstorm watch will likely be needed soon.

   DISCUSSION...An intense bow echo moving into northeast OK as of 04z
   is tracking toward the east/northeast at around 40-45 kt. The bow
   has produced widespread severe wind gusts near 55-70 mph over the
   last couple of hours. VWPs from INX and SGF show favorable vertical
   wind profiles for maintaining strong to severe organized convection
   and a moist and moderately unstable downstream airmass persists well
   into southwest MO. A rear inflow jet appears to well established
   with the bow echo as well based on radar trends over the last 1-2
   hours. It appears likely that damaging winds associated with this
   bow echo should persist northeastward into southeast KS and adjacent
   parts of southwest MO. 

   Additional severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds are also
   ongoing along a cold front from east-central KS into northeast MO
   just south of the Kansas City metro area. With these two areas of
   concern expected to persist the next several hours, a new watch is
   expected soon across the MCD area.

   ..Leitman/Hart.. 04/18/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...ICT...

   LAT...LON   37919499 38369458 38729392 38899336 38759290 38319265
               37709286 37239306 36919353 36789405 36879454 37009486
               37339510 37919499