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Mesoscale Discussion 352
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0352
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0612 PM CDT Sun Apr 14 2019

   Areas affected...Northeast Georgia...Western South
   Carolina...Western and Central North Carolina...Far Eastern
   Tennessee...Southwestern Virginia...Far Southern West Virginia

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62...66...

   Valid 142312Z - 150115Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62, 66
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A severe threat appears likely to continue across parts of
   the southern and central Appalachian Mountains. Wind damage and hail
   will be the primary threats but a tornado can not be ruled out.
   Weather watch issuance will probably be needed across the region at
   the expiration of WW 62.

   DISCUSSION...The latest surface analysis shows a cold front from
   eastern Kentucky extending south-southwestward into north-central
   Georgia. Scattered thunderstorms are ongoing along and just ahead of
   the front. A moist airmass is present to the east of the front and
   the RAP is showing an axis of instability from northeastern Georgia
   into western North Carolina, where MLCAPE values are estimated to be
   in the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range. In addition, the Knoxville, TN
   WSR-88D VWP shows 65 to 70 kt of 0-6 km shear suggesting the
   environment will continue to support severe storms early this
   evening. Supercells and organized multicells will have potential for
   wind damage and isolated large hail. Although the tornado threat
   appears to have decreased some across the region, a brief tornado or
   two can not be ruled out, especially with cells that rotate.

   ..Broyles/Guyer.. 04/14/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...RLX...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...

   LAT...LON   36778228 37518171 37768120 37468001 36967931 36457929
               35367992 34238117 33738186 33558283 33618327 33858374
               34418385 35088344 35678312 36778228 

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