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Mesoscale Discussion 573 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0573
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0549 PM CDT MON MAY 09 2016
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST OK AND FAR NORTH TX TO AR
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 155...
VALID 092249Z - 092345Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 155 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...ASIDE FROM LARGE HAIL...A TORNADO RISK WILL CONTINUE
PARTICULARLY OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS /POTENTIALLY THROUGH AT LEAST
00-01Z/ ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTH-CENTRAL OK INTO SOUTHEAST OK AND
POSSIBLY EAST-CENTRAL OK. TORNADO WATCH 155 CONTINUES UNTIL 02Z/9PM
CDT.
DISCUSSION...FOUR DISTINCT SUPERCELLS ARE ONGOING ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL/CENTRAL OK ROUGHLY 35-40 MILES EAST OF I-35 AS OF 530
PM CDT...WITH THE MOST PROMINENT SUPERCELL WITH A HISTORY OF A
TORNADO AND HIGHER-END VELOCITY SIGNATURE CURRENTLY SHOWING A
WEAKENING TREND ACROSS PONTOTOC COUNTY OK. AFTER INITIATING NEAR THE
DRYLINE...THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY THRIVING IN A
BAROCLINICITY/VORTICITY-RICH ENVIRONMENT AIDED BY EARLY-DAY
PRECIPITATION/RESIDUAL CLOUD COVER. ENVIRONMENT 0-1 KM SRH IS LIKELY
IN EXCESS OF 250 M2/S2 PARTICULARLY ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST
OK AS SUBSTANTIATED BY KTLX WSR-88D VWP DATA AND CONTEMPORARY
MODIFICATIONS TO THE 18Z OBSERVED NORMAN SOUNDING. ACCORDINGLY...THE
TORNADO THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE PARTICULARLY FROM SOUTH-CENTRAL INTO
SOUTHEAST OK. THIS CORRIDOR IS OBSERVATIONALLY CONSISTENT WITH
REGIONALLY MAXIMIZED PRESSURE FALLS...A CONTINUED TENDENCY FOR A
BACKING OF LOW-LEVEL WINDS....AND WARMER AIR ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OK
AND ADJACENT ARKLATEX /SOMEWHAT COOLER TEMPERATURES AND THICKER
CLOUD COVER HAS PERSISTED ACROSS PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
OK/.
..GUYER.. 05/09/2016
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 34679677 35559689 35729410 34749348 33479370 33359620
33449664 34679677
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