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Mesoscale Discussion 549 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0549
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0345 PM CDT FRI MAY 08 2015
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHWEST/SOUTH-CENTRAL OK AND WESTERN NORTH TX
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 143...
VALID 082045Z - 082215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 143 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE TORNADO RISK IS STEADILY INCREASING ACROSS THE WESTERN
PART OF NORTH TX AND SOUTHWEST OK...PARTICULARLY IN AREAS ROUGHLY 40
MILES EITHER SIDE OF THE RED RIVER...WHILE OTHER SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD INTO EAST-CENTRAL
OK. TORNADO WATCH 143 CONTINUES UNTIL 02Z.
DISCUSSION...IN VICINITY OF A SOUTHWEST-NORTHEASTWARD ORIENTED
FRONTAL ZONE AND NEARBY CORRIDOR OF MODIFYING OUTFLOW...SUPERCELLS
HAVE INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 1-2 HOURS ACROSS SOUTHWEST OK AND THE
WESTERN PART OF NORTH TX AMID A VERY MOIST/MODERATELY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT. LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN A DISTINCT CONCERN...AND THE
TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO HAVE INCREASED VIA RESIDUAL OUTFLOW
INFLUENCE AND BACKING/STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN PART OF NORTH TX/IMMEDIATE RED RIVER
VICINITY. THE FREDERICK WSR-88D VWP SUPPORTS AT LEAST 150-200 M2/S2
OF 0-1 KM SRH.
FARTHER NORTH...WHILE CLOUD COVER HAS BEEN SLOW TO ABATE ACROSS
PARTS OF OK...STRONG/POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO
CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD CENTRAL/SOUTH-CENTRAL OK IN
VICINITY OF SURFACE FRONTAL ZONE AND SUBSEQUENT/REINFORCING OUTFLOW.
..GUYER.. 05/08/2015
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...LUB...
LAT...LON 34380006 35279918 35699736 34419677 33239820 33639982
34380006
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