MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0375
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0530 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2012
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SRN NEB...MUCH OF NERN KS...NWRN MO
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 
   
   VALID 282230Z - 290030Z
   
   AN INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY IS EXPECTED OVER
   THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH A LARGE HAIL THREAT. DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALSO
   BECOME POSSIBLE AND A WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED.
   
   STORMS ARE BEGINNING TO FORM AND INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS E CNTRL
   KS WHERE STRONG HEATING AND DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 60S F HAVE
   CONTRIBUTED TO 2000-3000 J/KG MUCAPE. CONVERGENCE ALONG A BROAD WARM
   FRONT AND STEADY ISENTROPIC LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH 20 KT SWLY 850 MB
   FLOW SHOULD ALLOW MORE STORMS TO FORM THIS EVENING. FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATE THAT CONVECTIVE INHIBITION
   WILL REMAIN MINIMAL AND LIFT FROM WARM ADVECTION MAY INCREASE OVER
   NERN KS AND NWRN MO.
   
   SHEAR PROFILES ARE NOT STRONG BUT SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS GIVEN
   LOW LEVEL VEERING AND FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMICS IN PLACE. RATHER SLOW
   MOVING SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...AND A
   DAMAGING WIND THREAT COULD ARISE IF STORMS CAN CONGEAL INTO A SMALL
   MCS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 03/28/2012
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...
   
   LAT...LON   39329417 38579402 37729421 37349523 37779648 38399685
               39009762 39779933 40139933 40369882 40259707 40009591
               39759471 39329417