MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2374
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0619 PM CST WED DEC 07 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN AND ERN MD...DE AND SRN NJ
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 080019Z - 080045Z
   
   A NEW SEVERE TSTM WATCH IS BEING CONSIDERED TO THE NNE OF WW 897 FOR
   AREAS INCLUDING SRN AND ERN MD /TO THE S AND E OF THE WASHINGTON
   DC/BALTIMORE CORRIDOR/...MUCH OF DE AND PARTS OF SRN NJ.
   
   EARLY EVENING SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED A PRIMARY AREA OF LOW
   PRESSURE LOCATED OVER CENTRAL VA...WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING NEWD
   THROUGH THE SRN EXTENT OF ERN MD...CENTRAL DE...FAR SERN NJ...AND
   JUST S OF LONG ISLAND.  A SECOND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WAS ANALYZED
   OVER SRN NJ ALONG THE FRONT.  GIVEN UPSTREAM FAST MOVING /ENE AT 40
   KT/ LINE OF LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION AND EMBEDDED TSTMS /MAINLY VA
   PORTION/...SMALL DOWNSTREAM WARM SECTOR NNE OF WW 897 POSES A
   POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS TO REACH THE SURFACE WITH THE
   PASSAGE OF THE CONVECTION.  EARLIER REPORTS VIA WFO RALEIGH/ROANOKE
   INDICATED WIND GUSTS ASSOCIATED THUS FAR WITH THIS LINE OF ACTIVITY
   RANGED FROM 50-60 MPH...WHILE A NEAR 65 MPH GUST OCCURRED AT KRIC AT
   0007Z. 
   
   STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES
   THIS EVENING AND GIVEN A NEWD TRACK OF THE DEEPENING SURFACE
   LOW...THE WARM SECTOR WILL BE SUSTAINED OVER LAND.  THIS WILL PROVE
   FAVORABLE FOR STRONGER WIND GUSTS TO CONTINUE AFFECTING THE LAND
   AREAS PRIOR TO THE STRONGER CONVECTION MOVING OFFSHORE AROUND 03Z.
   
   ..PETERS.. 12/08/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...
   
   LAT...LON   38017485 37957648 38097721 38597683 39207582 39477502
               39437415 38017485