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Mesoscale Discussion 2362
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2362
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0344 PM CST SAT NOV 26 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SW...CNTRL  AND NE LA INTO WRN MS
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 262144Z - 262315Z
   
   IT IS NOT CERTAIN THAT A SEVERE WEATHER WATCH WILL BE NEEDED LATE
   THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR THE
   POSSIBILITY OF AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT THAT COULD REQUIRE ONE
   DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
   
   WITHIN THE SLOW EASTWARD ADVANCING PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTIVE LINE...
   POCKETS OF STORM INTENSIFICATION NOW APPEAR UNDERWAY...PERHAPS AS AT
   LEAST A FEW CELLS BECOME INCREASINGLY BASED IN THE WEAK TO
   MODERATELY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER.  LATEST RUC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
   STRENGTHENING OF SOUTHERLY 850 MB FLOW IN EXCESS OF 40 KT WILL TAKE
   PLACE ALONG A CORRIDOR FROM SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA NORTHWARD ALONG
   THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BETWEEN NOW AND 23-01Z.  AS THIS
   OCCURS...CLOCKWISE CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL ENLARGE AND
   BECOME MORE SUPPORTIVE OF THE RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. 
   ALTHOUGH THE LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS CHARACTERIZED BY HIGH MOISTURE
   CONTENT AND RELATIVELY HUMIDITY...SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS CONCERNING
   WHETHER THE NEAR SURFACE TEMPERATURE PROFILES WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO
   TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT.  BUT THE RISK FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT BE
   RULED OUT.
   
   ..KERR.. 11/26/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LIX...LZK...LCH...SHV...
   
   LAT...LON   30119304 30619264 31229227 32029174 32769147 33469119
               33939100 34609036 34119001 32959038 31999057 31139106
               30339146 29999219 29909281 30119304 
   
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