MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2235
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1025 PM CDT FRI OCT 07 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SOUTHEAST CO/WESTERN KS AND THE TX/OK
   PANHANDLES
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 861...
   
   VALID 080325Z - 080500Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 861 CONTINUES.
   
   TORNADO WATCH 861 CONTINUES UNTIL 07Z...WITH CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR
   ISOLATED TORNADOES AS WELL AS DAMAGING WINDS/SOME SEVERE HAIL.
   
   SCATTERED TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP/QUICKLY MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
   ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS WITHIN A NNE-SSW ORIENTED CORRIDOR FROM
   EXTREME SOUTHEAST CO/MUCH OF WESTERN KS...TO NEAR THE NM/TX BORDER
   VICINITY. EVEN WITH MODEST BUOYANCY...A HIGH DEGREE OF VERTICAL
   SHEAR/LOW-LEVEL SRH...WITH 0-1 KM SRH ESTIMATED TO BE 300-600 M2/S2
   AMID STRENGTHENING/BACKING WINDS WITHIN THE LOWEST FEW KM...WILL
   CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STRONG LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONES/POSSIBLE
   TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY WITHIN A CORRIDOR FROM NEAR THE SOUTHEAST
   CO/SOUTHWEST KS BORDER TO WEST-CENTRAL/NORTHWEST KS. WITH TIME...A
   TENDENCY FOR CONGEALING STORMS/CONVECTIVE INTERFERENCE...ESPECIALLY
   GIVEN EVER-INCREASING LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT /AIDED BY THE
   PIVOTING SOUTHERN ROCKIES UPPER TROUGH/...MAY BEGIN TO TEMPER THE
   TORNADO THREAT. HOWEVER...SUCH A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WILL
   NONETHELESS SUPPORT BOWING SEGMENTS/DAMAGING WINDS ASIDE FROM
   ISOLATED TORNADO POTENTIAL INTO THE OVERNIGHT.
   
   ..GUYER.. 10/08/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...
   
   LAT...LON   35120295 36780264 38600189 40100092 39289974 35050214
               35120295