MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2081
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0113 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN CAROLINAS
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 291813Z - 292015Z
   
   A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS FOR A DEVELOPING
   WIND AND HAIL THREAT. 
   
   SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TCU HAVE DEVELOPED FROM SERN VA INTO CNTRL
   NC...ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE DEEP TROPOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE GRADIENT.
   CU WERE ALSO BEGINNING TO DEVELOP NEAR THE LOW PRESSURE
   TROUGH/FRONT...AS WELL AS ALONG THE SEA BREEZE...BUT FARTHER FROM
   THE BETTER SHEAR PROFILES. LARGE SCALE FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE
   RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF AN INTENSIFYING UPPER JET WILL CONTINUE TO
   OVERSPREAD A DESTABILIZING WARM SECTOR WITH STRONG HEATING TAKING
   PLACE. STORMS SHOULD FORM NEAR THE STATIONARY FRONT...WITH DEEP
   LAYER SHEAR VECTOR ORIENTATION SUGGESTING A NEWD MOVEMENT. WIND AND
   HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.
   
   OTHER DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR ALONG THE SEA BREEZE WHERE AMPLE
   INSTABILITY EXISTS. THESE STORMS...ESPECIALLY OVER SC...WILL
   GENERALLY HAVE LESS SHEAR TO ORGANIZE THEM...ALTHOUGH DOWNBURSTS MAY
   CONTAIN SEVERE HAIL AND WIND.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 08/29/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP...
   FFC...
   
   LAT...LON   31978079 32368234 32698278 33378235 34248141 35178017
               35997951 36937818 37187643 36707577 36037560 35307536
               34657637 33867790 31978079