MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2069
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0631 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...DE...NJ...SE NY...LONG ISLAND...SRN CT AND RI
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 811...
   
   VALID 272331Z - 280100Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 811 CONTINUES.
   
   THE TORNADO THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IRENE WILL CONTINUE TO
   SPREAD NNEWD ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST INTO THE LONG ISLAND AREA.
   A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL BE NEEDED ALONG THE COAST OF DE...NJ...SE
   NY AND ACROSS LONG ISLAND THIS EVENING.
   
   THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ABOUT 300 STATUTE
   MILES SOUTH OF NEW YORK CITY WITH SEVERAL RAINBANDS EXTENDING NWD
   ALONG THE COASTS OF DE...NJ AS FAR NORTH AS LONG ISLAND. AT THIS
   POINT...THE TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO BE THE GREATEST WITH THE
   MIDDLE RAINBAND EXTENDING FROM NEAR DOVER OFFSHORE ABOUT 100 STATUTE
   MILES. CELLS WITHIN THIS BAND APPEAR MORE DISCRETE WITH WSR-88D VWPS
   SUGGESTING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS CURRENTLY MAXIMIZED AROUND 50 KT.
   LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL INCREASE IN SERN NY AS THE BAND MOVES NWD DUE
   TO THE APPROACH OF IRENE. A FEW TORNADOES COULD OCCUR IN NRN NJ AND
   SERN NY WHERE A TORNADO WATCH WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH MUCH OF THE
   OVERNIGHT PERIOD.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 08/27/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...
   
   LAT...LON   39157520 39197418 40417302 40917120 41667140 41737233
               41587355 41247435 40737520 40157575 39527576 39157520