MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1997
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0719 PM CDT WED AUG 17 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN CO / FAR SWRN KS / OK PANHANDLE
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 180019Z - 180115Z
   
   SEVERE WIND GUST THREAT MAY PERSIST WELL INTO THE EVENING HOURS
   ACROSS SERN CO AND PERHAPS AS FAR SE AS THE OK PANHANDLE AND EXTREME
   SWRN KS.  IF SHORT TERM TRENDS CONTINUE TO INCREASE REGARDING
   UPSCALE GROWTH...A SMALL WW MAY ADDRESS THIS THREAT.  POSSIBILITY OF
   A WW 50 PERCENT.
   
   SELY UPSLOPE FLOW ON THE N SIDE OF A STALLED FRONT ACROSS THE SRN
   PLAINS IS PROVIDING A MOIST/UNSTABLE FETCH OF HIGHER THETA-E INTO
   THE REGION.  STRONGLY VEERING SHEAR PROFILES /4 KM AGL WINDS 25 KTS
   PER KPUX/ WILL SUPPORT STORM ORGANIZATION.  UNCERTAINTY REMAINS
   REGARDING THE DEGREE OF UPSCALE GROWTH THAT THE CURRENT LINEAR STORM
   CLUSTER MAY ENACT OVER THE NEXT HOUR.  IF THIS OCCURS...STEEP LOW
   LEVEL LAPSE RATES...DESPITE SOME DIURNAL COOLING...MAY CONTINUE TO
   PROMOTE SEVERE WIND GUSTS TO THE SURFACE.
   
   ..SMITH.. 08/18/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...
   
   LAT...LON   36710254 37060324 38150446 38470453 38750327 38460226
               37780168 36870175 36710254